Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1¢ | 1% | $47K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jensen Huang, co-founder of NVIDIA, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying arrest occurs when Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without being taken into physical custody will not qualify. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal