Kalshi prices this contract at 34¢, while Polymarket has it at 40¢. Resolves November 8, 2028 (~730 days). Iowa is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 34¢ | 34% | $15 |
| Polymarket | 40¢ | 40% | — |
Iowa is expected to hold a Republican presidential primary or caucus in 2028. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most votes in the Iowa Republican primary, caucus, or other official voting process by which the Iowa public directs the voting of delegates for the selecti