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Will 46 or fewer senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Politics Resolves January 1, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves January 1, 2027. This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket1%$39

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting reco

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