StreetSpread · Economics · Polymarket

Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?

Economics Resolves August 7, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 38¢ (38% implied probability). Resolves August 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket38¢38%$0

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for July 2026, scheduled to be released on August 7, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

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