StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Jarrett Keohokalole be the Democratic nominee for HI-01?

Politics Resolves August 8, 2026 24 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 50¢, while Polymarket has it at 44¢. That's a 6.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 8, 2026 (~24 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 6.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi50¢50%$2K
Polymarket44¢44%
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