Polymarket is pricing this contract at 4¢ (4% implied probability). Resolves December 1, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 4¢ | 4% | $5K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.