StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will James Fishback finish 2nd in the 2026 Florida gubernatorial primary?

Politics Resolves August 18, 2026 35 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 32¢, while Polymarket has it at 40¢. That's a 8.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 18, 2026 (~35 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 8.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

Platform	Cents	Implied	Volume
Kalshi	32¢	32%	$43K
Polymarket	40¢	40%	—

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