StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?

Politics Resolves August 18, 2026 43 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 56¢, while Polymarket has it at 60¢. That's a 3.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 18, 2026 (~43 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 3.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi56¢56%$11K
Polymarket60¢60%$30
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