StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?

Politics Resolves August 18, 2026 43 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 25¢, while Polymarket has it at 31¢. That's a 5.1¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 18, 2026 (~43 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 5.1¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi25¢25%$3K
Polymarket31¢31%
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