StreetSpread · Technology · Polymarket

FDA approves Viatris' low-dose estrogen weekly patch?

Technology Resolves July 30, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 84¢ (84% implied probability). Resolves July 30, 2026. As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is July 30, 2026.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket84¢84%$3K

Resolution criteria

As of market creation, the FDA's expected decision date for the specified application is July 30, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) grants full or conditional approval for Viatris's low-dose estrogen weekly patch for contraception by August 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." An approval is defined as: For new drugs: FDA issuance of an approval letter for a New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA) For already-marketed drugs seeking new indications: FDA approval of a supplemental NDA (sNDA) or supplemental BLA (sBLA) for the specific indication referenced For generic drugs: FDA approval of an Abbreviated New Drug Application (ANDA) For biosimilars: FDA approval of a 351(k) application The following constitute qualifying approvals: Standard approval (traditional approval based on clinical benefit), Accelerated approval (based on surrogate endpoints), Approval with Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy (REMS), Approval with restricted distribution or indication limitations, except compassionate use/expanded access programs The following do n

Trade on Polymarket →
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices update every ~30 seconds via WebSocket. Back to live tracker · Join the app waitlist.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn