StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Isamaa win the most seats in the 2027 Estonian parliamentary election?

Politics Resolves March 7, 2027 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 42¢ (42% implied probability). Resolves March 7, 2027. Parliamentary elections to elect the Riigikogu of Estonia are scheduled to take place on March 7, 2027.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket42¢42%$3K

Resolution criteria

Parliamentary elections to elect the Riigikogu of Estonia are scheduled to take place on March 7, 2027. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Riigikogu as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by December 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed pa

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