StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics Resolves November 8, 2028 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 11¢ (11% implied probability). Resolves November 8, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket11¢11%$28.4M

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Trade on Polymarket →
Don't just watch the number
Get the app →Live on the App Store — every venue priced side by side, in your pocket.
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices refresh about every two minutes. Back to live tracker · Get the app.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn