StreetSpread · Politics · Polymarket

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Politics Resolves November 7, 2028 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 20¢ (20% implied probability). Resolves November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket20¢20%$26.3M

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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