StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?

Politics Resolves August 11, 2026 36 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 80¢, while Polymarket has it at 75¢. That's a 7.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves August 11, 2026 (~36 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 7.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi80¢80%$4K
Polymarket75¢75%$13
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