Polymarket is pricing this contract at 16¢ (16% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 16¢ | 16% | $2K |
On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas. You can read more about that here: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual for conduct that caused or contributed to the structural issues that prompted evacuations relating to this building between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.