Polymarket is pricing this contract at 94¢ (94% implied probability). Resolves August 18, 2026. A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 94¢ | 94% | $3K |
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.