StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Who will win the 2026 CA-14 House election?

Politics Resolves November 3, 2026 109 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 11¢, while Polymarket has it at 37¢. That's a 26.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves November 3, 2026 (~109 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 26.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi11¢11%$10K
Polymarket37¢37%
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