Polymarket is pricing this contract at 97¢ (97% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 97¢ | 97% | $23K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andy Burnham is unopposed in assuming the title of Leader of the Labour Party of the UK in the next Labour Party leadership election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To satisfy a “Yes” resolution, Andy Burnham must become Leader of the Labour Party by being the only candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, regardless of whether an election is held. If Andy Burnham does not appear as a candidate at the next UK Labour leadership election, if Andy Burnham is challenged by another candidate that has cleared the nomination threshold, or if Andy Burnham is not elected as the next leader of the Labour Party, this market will resolve to “No”. The appointment of any interim, acting, or temporary leader will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the UK Labour Party does not elect a new leader by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party (https://labour.org.uk/); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.