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Will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch before Dec 2026?

Technology Resolves December 31, 2026 169 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 8¢, while Polymarket has it at 14¢. That's a 4.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves December 31, 2026 (~169 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 4.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi8%$4K
Polymarket14¢14%$2
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