Polymarket is pricing this contract at 3¢ (3% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S.
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 3¢ | 3% | $51K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ben Pasternak serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.