StreetSpread · Economics · Polymarket

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Economics Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 30¢ (30% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket30¢30%$15K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Bank of Canada's target for the overnight rate is increased at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET has passed. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bank of Canada (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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