StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Kai Newkirk be the Democratic nominee for AZ-04?

Politics Resolves July 21, 2026 13 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 18¢, while Polymarket has it at 20¢. That's a 0.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves July 21, 2026 (~13 days).

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi18¢18%$23K
Polymarket20¢20%$588
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