StreetSpread · Politics · Market

Will Jonathan Treble be the Democratic nominee for AZ-01?

Politics Resolves July 21, 2026 15 days to close Cross-platform

Kalshi prices this contract at 20¢, while Polymarket has it at 24¢. That's a 4.0¢ spread between the two prediction markets. Resolves July 21, 2026 (~15 days).

The two prediction markets disagree by 4.0¢ on this contract — that's a meaningful divergence worth investigating.

Live prices

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Kalshi20¢20%$7K
Polymarket24¢24%
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