Polymarket is pricing this contract at 36¢ (36% implied probability). Resolves July 31, 2026. On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669)
| Platform | Cents | Implied | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 36¢ | 36% | $1K |
On July 12, 2026, Anthropic announced that it was extending access to Claude Fable 5 on all paid plans through July 19, 2026, ahead of the previously scheduled cutoff after which the model would move to usage-credit-only billing (https://x.com/claudeai/status/2076351399999557669). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that access to "Claude Fable 5" will remain permanently or indefinitely included on qualifying paid plans, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying announcement requires Fable 5 to remain included in standard usage limits, without requiring usage credits for baseline access, on at least one of the Pro, Max, or Team plans. An announcement covering all paid plans does qualify. An announcement covering only the Enterprise plan does not qualify. An announcement extending access only through a specified date or for another temporary period will not qualify. Access described as permanent, indefinite, ongoing, or continuing without a stated expiration will qualify. Continued or extended access without a qualifying public announcement from Anthropic will not qualify. The p