StreetSpread · Technology · Polymarket

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

Technology Resolves December 31, 2026 Polymarket

Polymarket is pricing this contract at 1¢ (1% implied probability). Resolves December 31, 2026. This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Passings" list for 2026.

Live price

PlatformCentsImpliedVolume
Polymarket1¢1%$35K

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global "Passings" list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Passings. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Trade on Polymarket →
Don't just watch the number
Get the app →Live on the App Store — every venue priced side by side, in your pocket.
StreetSpread aggregates real-time odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, and Fanatics. Prices refresh about every two minutes. Back to live tracker · Get the app.

Follow us: X (@thestreetspread) · Instagram (@thestreetspread) · LinkedIn